In the first half of 2020, Huawei surpassed Apple in the domestic smartphone market of more than $600 and became the leader of flagship mobile phones. The good times did not last long. Due to various restrictions, Huawei’s hardware procurement and chip foundry became difficult, and the top flagship Mate series was even forced to stop updating in 2021.

According to IDC data, Huawei returned to the top of China’s smartphone market in shipments in the first half of this year with a market share of 17.5%, but the high-end market share did not surpass Apple. IDC pointed out that while external restrictions continue, Huawei’s supply capacity is also improving, narrowing the gap with Apple in the market of more than 4,000 yuan.

But if Huawei wants to reverse the situation and catch up with Apple in the high-end market share, the most important reliance remains the all-round flagship Mate series.More than half of 2024 has passed, and the long-awaited Mate series has finally arrived, and there are more surprises than expected.

Kirin 9100 + Pure Blood Hongmeng, Mate 70 is full of surprises

In 2024, Huawei has successively released the Enjoy 70 series, Pocket 2, Pura 70 series, nova Flip and other models, including both entry-level smartphones and high-end flagship models. At the full-scene new product launch on September 10, Huawei is also expected to bring the industry’s first triple-fold mobile phone and nova 13 series.

Unfortunately, the Mate 70 is unlikely to make an appearance at this conference, but pollen fans don’t have to worry either. According to various sources such as the Financial Union and digital chat stations, the Mate 70 series is expected to be released in November.

On September 10, Beijing time, Apple will hold a new product launch conference to launch the iPhone 16 series, and November is the time when the Snapdragon 8 Gen 4 models will be released one after another. Huawei’s triple-fold mobile phone, nova 13 series, and Mate 70 series, choose to be released close to or even on the same day, to compete with Apple and Android manufacturers for product strength and popularity. Short combat, more need to be based on strong strength, Mate 70 series hard strength is strong enough?

According to the pictures released on the Internet, the back design of the Mate 70 Pro is not much different from the previous generation, the front-facing camera is 48 million pixels, retains the 3D sensor, the rear camera module is 60 million pixel main camera + 48 million pixel ultra-wide angle + 48 million pixel telephoto lens, supports 5x optical zoom and 100x digital zoom.Compared to the Mate 60 Pro, the camera module of the Mate 70 Pro has undergone a significant improvement, and with Huawei’s imaging algorithm, it can better meet the needs of users in the video era.

Interestingly, the Financial Union reported that insiders revealed that the Mate 70 Pro will use a side fingerprint + 3D face unlock solution. From an ergonomic perspective, Xiao Lei believes that the rear fingerprint > side fingerprint > screen fingerprint, but the screen fingerprint is better integrated, and the back and side designs will not be obtrusive.

There is also a problem with the side fingerprint – the recognition area is too small, the recognition success rate is slightly inferior to the screen fingerprint and the rear fingerprint solution, and the recognition success rate will be greatly reduced when the finger is peeled or wet. Of course, with 3D facial recognition assistance, the Mate 70 Pro does not have to worry about the fingerprint recognition rate, but Xiao Lei is curious why the Mate series is replaced from the screen fingerprint to the side fingerprint.

The most anticipated thing about the Mate 70 series is the SoC and system. The performance gap between the Mate 40 series and the Mate 60 series is not big, but the Mate 70 series is different, it will be equipped with the Kirin 9100 chip. Earlier digital blogger @fixed focus digital broke the news that the open source community exposed a processor, the big core ID is named "linxicore9100", and the small core ID is "linxicore6100", which is likely to be the Kirin 9100.

The X platform blogger broke the news that the Kirin 9100 is divided into multiple versions, based on the equivalent 5nm process technology, the worst version of which has also reached the Qualcomm Snapdragon 8 + Gen 1 level of performance, with Huawei’s optimization, the overall fluency is not inferior to the flagship machine equipped with Snapdragon 8 Gen 2 and Snapdragon 8 Gen 3. It is expected to be launched by the three-fold model.Huawei’s new system, HarmonyOS NEXT, which is "Pure Blood Hongmeng", will no longer be compatible with Android applications, and the fluency will be greatly improved compared with previous versions of the system, or it will be launched by the Mate 60 series.

The most important image module, SoC, and system of the mobile phone have been fully upgraded, as well as the bright spot of side fingerprint + 3D facial recognition. I believe that many small partners have been excited about the Mate 70 series, but before buying, they must also consider whether they can accept the application ecology of Mate 70 Pro.Whether the Mate 70 Pro can sell well, the completion of the HarmonyOS NEXT ecosystem will be a top priority.

Pure Blood Hongmeng, the killer of Huawei Mate 70

Performance is not the strength of previous generations of Mate series models, but with the optimization of HarmonyOS, the Mate 50/60 series has achieved the fluency of the iPhone and Android flagship. In the past, in order to meet the needs of users for the software ecosystem, HarmonyOS has been compatible with Android applications. Now, HarmonyOS has to give up the compatibility of Android applications and create its own Hongmeng ecosystem.

After getting rid of the burden of compatible Android applications, the fluency of HarmonyOS NEXT is expected to be further improved, but it also raises the question of whether the HarmonyOS NEXT application ecosystem can meet the needs of users.

At the developer conference in June this year, Huawei said that more than 5,000 users’ commonly used application developers have started the development of Hongmeng native applications, of which 1,500 + applications have been completed on the shelves. According to the data released by the Beijing Hongmeng Ecological Partner Conference of "Thousand Sails Competing for a Common Beijing Color" some time ago, nearly 620 applications in Beijing have started the development of Hongmeng native applications, and more than 200 applications have been completed on the shelves.

According to this rate, after the Mate 70 series is listed and HarmonyOS NETX is launched in the fourth quarter, there may be more than 5,000 applications on the shelves of Hongmeng ecology. However, only 5,000 applications are still too few compared to the iOS and Android systems. According to the data of the national APP technology detection platform, as of May 2023, the domestic iOS and Android platforms alone have reached 2.61 million active apps.

5,000 apps may be able to meet users’ daily communication and office needs, but when we have some relatively special or professional needs, Hongmeng Ecology may not find the app we need.The work requirements are relatively easy to solve. Even if there is no relevant app, it can be operated on the computer through Huawei’s device interconnection function. HarmonyOS NEXT is more difficult to improve the game ecosystem.

Apple has worked hard for years to build a huge iOS ecology. Huawei is strong, but ecological construction can’t eat fat people in one bite, and it takes enough time to accumulate.Under the premise that the ecosystem has not yet been fully perfected, stopping the compatibility of Android applications is also a challenge for the Mate 70 series.

HarmonyOS NEXT develops multi-terminal deployment features at one time, enabling it to simultaneously adapt to devices such as Hongmeng mobile phones, PCs, cars, tablets, etc. In the future, it will cost little to cover other devices, which is the foundation for Huawei to build a full-category application ecosystem.Huawei needs to launch a pure-blood version of Hongmeng as soon as possible, calling on partners to join the Hongmeng family and accelerate the construction of the Hongmeng ecosystem.What’s more, since Huawei dares to give up compatibility with Android applications, it must be ready. With the support of the new Mate series, Huawei will once again challenge Apple.

What are the odds of Huawei winning in the high-end market against Apple again?

The complex needs of consumers and the ecosystem of HarmonyOS NEXT are likely to become a hindrance to the sales breakthrough of the Mate 70 series, especially in China, where the global smartphone industry is most competitive. The high-end mobile phone market is not only dominated by Apple, but also by brands such as OPPO, vivo, Xiaomi, and Honor.

Therefore, Xiaolei believes that in addition to continuing to cooperate with developers to improve the HarmonyOS NEXT ecosystem, Huawei also needs two operations to enhance its strengths and make up for its weaknesses.The first is to target specific groups of people, adapt applications, and place marketing advertisements.From the official information released by Huawei, HarmonyOS NEXT is mainly suitable for applications with a large number of users or office-related applications. Business people can be selected as the target consumer group and marketing strategies can be customized.

The second is to partner with developers to develop exclusive apps or games.In the field of tablet computers, Huawei has launched the "Born to Draw" app, which proves that Huawei has the strength to develop exclusive applications. If we can co-develop some HarmonyOS NEXT exclusive applications or games, we can also attract some consumers.

Due to the impact of Chinese mobile phone manufacturers, Apple’s power has not been as strong as before, with mobile phone sales declining year-on-year and revenue falling short of expectations. After Huawei experienced a period of precipitation, mobile phone sales have been soaring since the Mate 50 series. The current domestic share has surpassed Apple, and it is believed that the high-end market will soon be equally matched with Apple.

If you have requirements for the power of the vehicle, besides the engine parameters, you should actually care about some other data. What I bring to you today is that it has many highlights. Next, let’s see if its highlights can attract you with Xiaobian.

First of all, from the appearance, the front shape of Kia EV5 is very fashionable and simple, and it looks sporty. At the same time, the headlight presents a stable and atmospheric design style with high recognition. The car is equipped with LED daytime running lights, automatic opening and closing, etc. Coming to the side of the car body, the size of the car body is 4615MM*1875MM*1715MM. The car adopts soft lines, and the side wall gives people a very simple and fashionable feeling. With large-size thick-walled tires, the shape is eye-catching. In the design of the rear end, the overall shape of the Kia EV5 rear end echoes the front end, and the taillights look sharp and create a good gas field.

Coming into the car, the interior looks very domineering and functional. The steering wheel design of the car is very simple, and it is made of imitation leather, which makes everything look very individual. From the central control point of view, with the 12.3-inch touch-sensitive LCD central control screen, the interior design is quite layered, which meets the aesthetic standards of most consumers. The dashboard and seats are equally eye-catching. The dashboard of the car presents a calm design style and looks very unique. The car uses a leather/fabric mix seat, which is wide and thick and very comfortable to ride.

Kia EV5 is equipped with a motor with a total power of 160KW and a total torque of 310N.m It has good acceleration, excellent cruising range and good power performance.

In terms of functional configuration, KIA EV5 is equipped with car networking, driving mode selection, remote control key, rear wiper, traction control (ASR/TCS, etc.) and other configurations.

Such a car with the right price is enough to meet the daily practical needs, and it doesn’t take much thought to maintain it at ordinary times, and the cost performance is good. If you plan to buy a car and the budget is not particularly adequate, this model is worth considering.

Geely Super Edition is a small SUV launched by Geely Automobile on July 14th, 2024. The new car has two models. Geely Binyue Super Edition offers two models, namely 1.5L Manual Super Edition and 1.5L CVT Super Edition. The official guide prices are 66,800 yuan and 73,800 yuan respectively.

The design of Geely Binyue Super Edition still continues the design language of "Super Storm", the overall design is simple and fashionable, and a large number of hard lines are used to create a strong sports atmosphere. The body size is 4330mm long, 1800mm wide, 1609mm high and 2600mm wheelbase. The front face adopts polygonal air intake grille, equipped with Geely silver logo, and the black middle net improves the recognition. The side waistline extends backward from the headlight group, and is treated separately under the A pillar, which, together with the through waistline, makes the whole vehicle look layered. The tail design is more radical, equipped with a top design in the style of racing tail and a large taillight group.

The interior design is relatively simple, the center console layout is regular, and an 8-inch floating LCD screen is installed in the middle. A row of physical keys are reserved below, and the knob control keys on both sides have a strong mechanical sense and a comfortable feel. Equipped with a three-position steering wheel, it is wrapped in leather for a comfortable grip. In terms of configuration, Geely Binyue Super Edition is equipped with G-LINK in-vehicle system, automatic parking, ESC body stability system and other safety auxiliary functions.

Power configuration: Geely Binyue Super Edition adopts a 1.5L self-priming engine with a maximum power of 93kw and a peak torque of 152 N m.. The matching power system is a 5-speed manual gearbox or CVT gearbox. The chassis adopts the form of front McPherson rear torsion beam independent suspension.

As a small SUV of Geely Automobile, Geely Binyue Super Edition shows certain competitiveness in the small SUV market with its simple and fashionable appearance, comfortable interior and efficient power configuration. Its price is moderate, the configuration is perfect, and it is suitable for young consumers to use as the first scooter.

When it comes to the transformation of the automobile industry and the evolution of products, apart from the electrification widely perceived by users, the twin word of electrification-intelligence is inevitable. 2019 is the first year of the intelligent arms race initiated by new forces. What was intelligence at that time?

It was not until I saw it that I had a further understanding of intelligence: it turns out that intelligence is not only computing power and chips, but also a redefinition based on the AI ? ? big model ~

Innovation and breakthrough of AI aesthetics

On August 2nd, Jiyue held an aesthetic tasting meeting of Jiyue 07 in Shanghai, which showed its unique AI aesthetic design concept. As a C-class pure electric AI intelligent driving car, Extreme Yue 07 has realized a highly integrated hidden design and a simple interior and exterior layout with the design philosophy of "Less is More" combined with AI technology. This design not only embodies the simple but not simple aesthetic feeling, but also sets a new standard for smart car design.

Perfect combination of minimalist design and intelligent technology

The design of Extreme Yue 07 is inspired by the statue of Venus in Roman mythology, and its smooth curve and elegant radian are skillfully applied to the body design, giving the vehicle a unique aesthetic feeling. In order to achieve this aesthetic goal, Extreme Yue invested a lot of resources, moved the A-pillar back 65mm, and created an amazing "Venus curve", which not only improved the coordination of the car body proportion, but also enhanced the dynamic aesthetic feeling of the vehicle.

In addition, the Extreme Yue 07 is equipped with the world’s leading 15mm ultra-thin intelligent interactive headlights and the oversized "clamshell cover". These design elements not only enhance the sense of future technology of the vehicle, but also provide excellent lighting performance through AI intelligent headlights. Through the breakthrough stamping process, Chaoyue has achieved a perfect combination of higher aesthetic standards and practical functions, ensuring the safety and reliability of vehicles under various driving conditions.

Intelligent cockpit and future design vision

The design of the intelligent cockpit of Extreme Yue 07 is inspired by the sci-fi spacecraft, which is specially designed for AI intelligent driving. In the design process, Ji Yue boldly canceled most physical buttons, and adopted AI big model technology and pure visual high-order intelligent driving, realizing an innovative interactive experience of intelligent cabin. The convenient design of automatic shifting and closing the door provides users with an unparalleled driving experience.

The cockpit is equipped with a 1.96 m panoramic canopy, a 35.6-inch 3D unbounded integrated large screen and a star ring atmosphere lamp, which not only enhances the sense of technology and futurity of the cockpit, but also creates a comfortable and pleasant riding environment for users. Through breakthrough design and technical application, Jiyue 07 has set a new benchmark for intelligent auto time design and become an important weather vane for the development of smart cars in the future.

The release of Jiyue 07 not only marks a major breakthrough in the field of smart car design, but also shows the innovative ability and design strength of China brand in the global market. Its comprehensive performance in AI aesthetics, intelligent technology and design aesthetics has pushed Extreme Yue 07 to the forefront of smart car design, providing new ideas and directions for the development of the industry.

　　Recently, a game called "cigarette card" has become popular, and this toy made of cigarette box cover has almost become the hot flow of some short video platforms. So how did "cigarette cards" become toys? Can "cigarette cards" be sold? Will it have a bad influence on children? With these questions, the reporter conducted an investigation.

　　"cigarette card" spreads and sells the hardest hit areas.

　　Mostly short video platforms.

　　First of all, the reporter’s understanding of the "cigarette card" is in a short video in Tik Tok. A child rummages around the ground with a plastic bag, and the dialogue expresses that he is looking for a cigarette case on the ground. Then the boy skillfully tears open the cigarette case and folds the lid to make a "cigarette card". For how to use this game prop made of cigarette cases, a large number of video covers featuring children will appear immediately after entering "cigarette card" on the vibrato platform. The introduction of "smoke card" in different videos is also varied. The most conventional way of playing is to put the cigarette card on the ground and take turns to shoot it. Whoever can flip the other person’s cigarette card will win the other person’s cigarette card, and the more expensive the cigarette, the more advanced the cigarette card.

　　The reporter found that in some short video platforms, there are also many self-media bloggers who shoot "smoke cards" to make videos, with thousands of praises. After searching for "cigarette cards" on Tik Tok, a large number of videos involving "cigarette cards" will appear, and most of the protagonists on the front pages of these videos are children. The number of likes of these "Smoke Card" videos featuring children even reached more than 100,000, among which a Tik Tok author with more than 1.5 million fans liked a video of "Smoke Card" up to 130,000. Another Tik Tok author’s video content is to encourage children to play with "cigarette cards", and specially bought cigarettes to make "cigarette cards" for children, with the caption "I feel very proud to collect so many cigarette cards in front of children at once".

　　The reporter found that some publishers of these videos about "cigarette cards" hung up a link to sell "cigarette cards" in the lower right corner of the video. When you click in, you will find that it is actually a shop selling "cigarette cards", and the price ranges from 3 yuan to tens of yuan. Some merchants have marked slogans such as "First-hand goods, see who has more than me" and "There is a high probability of exploding rare cards, and my mother no longer has to worry about me going out to pick up cigarette cases".

　　The reporter also noticed that the "cigarette card" was not only on the short video platform, but also on the e-commerce platform. After searching for "cigarette cards" on a shopping platform, it is found that there are many buyers of some goods called "out of print", "rare" and "cigarette cards", and the store with the highest sales volume on the homepage shows that "20,000+"has been sold. Searching for the same keyword on another shopping platform will show the goods that have been "spelled 1 million+pieces". On the Internet, the price of a "cigarette card" generally ranges from 10 cents to 50 cents, and some "rare models" are more expensive. Among them, the price of a card book containing 200 rare and non-repetitive cards is as high as 399 yuan. Most brands emphasize that they are "real cigarette cases, no printing" in a conspicuous position on the page, and most buyers’ comments are "children like them very much". However, the reporter also noticed that some buyers mentioned some problems in their comments, such as "cigarette cards", "some dirty, garbage recycling at first glance" and "obvious smoke smell".

　　Wholesalers push hard.

　　Stationery shopkeepers resolutely resist.

　　In addition to these "cigarette cards" sold online, are there any "cigarette cards" sold in places where children can buy them in life? The reporter visited stationery stores near different primary schools such as Heping District, Nankai District and Hexi District, and found no cigarette cards for sale. During the interview, the female shopkeeper of the stationery store next to Pingshan Road Primary School in Hexi District told the reporter, "There are’ cigarette cards’ in the wholesalers, and they also told us that’ cigarette cards’ are particularly popular now, and they will definitely sell well. However, considering that everything related to cigarettes is not good, there are many children who come to buy things here, and we have to check for our parents and not sell everything. We think that thing is unsanitary, and the cigarette case is used to hold cigarettes, and it is all used up by others. How dirty it is. "

　　Regarding the possible harm caused by the "cigarette card", will the "cigarette card" make children bury the possibility of smoking? A male shopkeeper who runs a stationery store near the Water Park Primary School in Nankai District said, "I will never sell that thing in my shop." He said that he smokes, and he has given up smoking many times without success. He absolutely does not allow his children to smoke. In his view, "cigarette cards" are being sold all over the internet, which means that some people are cultivating potential consumers, all know that smoking is harmful to health, and it is "too hateful" to seduce children to play with "cigarette cards".

　　Bad Push of Short Video

　　Parents feel that the hidden danger is huge.

　　What is the impression of "cigarette card" among parents and children? The reporter interviewed the parents of Xikang Road Primary School in Heping District after school hours and talked about the "cigarette card". A parent who was picking up the child told the reporter that he knew that there was such a toy as "cigarette card" from his son, and his son also asked his father for a cigarette case to do it himself. He said, "When my son was in the fourth grade, I suddenly felt something was wrong when he asked for a cigarette case that day, so I asked him carefully. My son showed me a short video on his mobile phone showing you how to fold a cigarette case, so I didn’t let him see it at that time, telling him that cigarettes contain nicotine, which will make people sick." The parent said frankly, "Many popular games are now played in Tik Tok, and some should not be played for children at all. I now forbid our children to watch Tik Tok."

　　This parent’s statement resonated with many parents. A parent with a girl at home showed reporters the short video records that his children had browsed on his mobile phone, including the push of "cigarette cards". This parent feels that some short video platforms now start to push regardless of good or evil after collecting personal big data, and the "smoke card" is also on fire. He said: "Because the children in primary school are still young, the possible negative effects on cigarette cards while playing games cannot be distinguished and resisted, so schools and parents should intervene in time once they find out."

　　The sale of "cigarette cards" is suspected of being illegal.

　　There is a ban on the education department.

　　The reporter learned by inquiring about the relevant legal provisions that according to the relevant provisions of the Regulations on the Implementation of the Tobacco Monopoly Law of People’s Republic of China (PRC), the trademarks cut off from discarded cigarette cases, that is, the items called "cigarette cards" by children, are not allowed to be sold by merchants in any way. At the same time, the tobacco monopoly law clearly stipulates that the trademark logo of tobacco products must be printed by enterprises designated by the provincial administrative department for industry and commerce, and non-designated enterprises may not print the trademark logo of tobacco products. The Law on the Protection of Minors also stipulates that there should be no sales outlets for cigarettes, alcohol and lottery tickets around schools and kindergartens, and it is forbidden to sell cigarettes, alcohol and lottery tickets to minors or pay lottery prizes.

　　According to media reports, at the end of March this year, law enforcement officers of Haikou City Supervision Bureau of Hainan Province conducted special inspections on the sales of "cigarette cards" in stationery stores and toy stores around schools in their jurisdiction. On April 7th, the Education Bureau of Sanya City, Hainan Province issued "Important Tips for Preventing Students from Addicting to" Cigarette Card "Games", which made it clear that "Cigarette Card" comes from discarded cigarette cases, and collecting it around and carrying it with you may endanger students’ physical and mental health; In addition, students may enlighten their gambling consciousness in the game and have interest and curiosity about smoking. Parents are requested to cooperate with the school to prohibit "cigarette cards" from entering the campus. Once the school finds that students bring "cigarette cards" into the school or find that students are playing "cigarette cards" on campus, it can immediately stop and confiscate the "cigarette cards" on the spot, and at the same time conduct oral education and give feedback to parents. Xinbao reporter Jie Jing The picture is a screenshot of Tik Tok

Original Zhao long’s bottom line thinking

Text/Observer Network columnist Zhao Long

Deputy Director and Researcher, Institute of Global Governance, Shanghai Institute of International Studies

Since the beginning of the year, the mentality changes of the United States, Europe, Russia, Ukraine and other parties about the Ukrainian crisis have gone through several obvious stages. On the one hand, "Ukraine can’t lose" is still the clearest target bottom line for the United States, Europe and Ukraine; On the other hand, strategic anxiety and war fatigue are constantly affecting social and political consensus, especially reflected in the domestic political agenda of some countries.

In this context, is a "long ceasefire" equal to a "long peace"? How to define the standard of victory and failure? How to evaluate the future applicability of "East-West Germany" and "Peninsula Model" in Ukraine is no longer a taboo topic discussed by all parties.

After Trump won the election, his campaign slogan of "ending the Ukrainian crisis within 24 hours" ignited the expectations of all parties for a ceasefire.

On November 16th, local time, Ukrainian President Zelensky said in an interview with the media that he was convinced that the war would end "faster than before" after Trump took office, and Ukraine would "make every effort to ensure that the war would end next year".

It is undeniable that in the Trump 2.0 period, Russia and Ukraine resumed some form of contact and even started ceasefire negotiations, which is worth looking forward to. To put it simply, Trump’s position on the Ukrainian crisis may include three aspects:

First, by threatening to interrupt aid, Ukraine was forced to return to the negotiating table and asked to make non-sovereign compromises on territorial issues;

Second, let Europe bear more economic costs, including expanding the procurement of American weapons to aid Ukraine and the main part of the funds needed for post-war reconstruction in Ukraine;

The third is to "freeze conflicts" based on Russia’s actual control line and persuade Russia to complete the transaction.

However, there seems to be some illusion that Trump can quickly end the war. In fact, Trump’s return is a necessary condition for Ukraine to achieve peace, but it is not a sufficient condition. Because although all parties support the resumption of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, there are many differences on what to talk about and how to talk about it.

For example, Europe insists that negotiations must be "beneficial to Ukraine", while Russia emphasizes "based on territorial reality" and the Istanbul Consensus in April 2022. Countries in the south of the world emphasize a ceasefire as soon as possible from the perspective of reducing casualties. According to the experience of various regional conflicts and local wars in the past, after the parties resume contact, they still need to complete a temporary ceasefire, start negotiations, establish a demilitarized zone, sign a ceasefire agreement, and establish an international supervision mechanism, so as to achieve lasting peace.

At the same time, the huge casualties suffered by Russia and Ukraine on the battlefield in the past three years and the contradiction of sovereignty over 18% of Ukraine’s total territory have determined that it is difficult for a single country or individual to achieve a ceasefire and stop the war on its own.

For Trump and his "MAGA" (Make America Great Again) line, reducing the economic cost paid by the American people for the Ukrainian crisis is the core concern. If Europe is willing to bear more economic costs and increase the purchase of American weapons to aid Ukraine, Trump may not exclude the Ukrainian crisis from continuing in a low-intensity way for the sake of maximizing his own interests. Even if the United States completely stops aid, Europe’s commitment and determination to support Ukraine cannot be underestimated, including continuing to break through legal disputes and using frozen Russian assets to aid Ukraine.

What’s more, the "peace plan" proposed by Trump and his team involves "establishing a demilitarized zone according to the existing contact line, Ukraine’s commitment not to join NATO within 20 years, and establishing a ceasefire monitoring mechanism with the participation of a third party". These potential plans have been discussed many times in various second-track dialogues, and they are not very creative new ideas. Among them, European countries, not the United States, are responsible for supervising the implementation of the ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine, and the vague statements on sensitive issues such as territorial control and ownership have led all parties to question the enforceability of the "peace plan."

For Russia, compared with the political and economic costs caused by the delay of the war, a simple "freezing conflict" may not be the best option. Before Trump takes office, Russia may launch a new wave of offensive against Ukraine, and set the main goal as to recover the "lost land" in Kursk region, and strive to limit the focus of future negotiations to the areas that Russia has not controlled in the four eastern Ukrainian States, instead of simply ceasing fire according to the actual contact line.

The most important thing is that Putin and the establishment forces in Russia have absolute distrust of the United States and Europe and will not be easily satisfied with signing the 3.0 version of the Minsk Agreement under the political commitment of the United States and Europe. This is why the future peace plan cannot be limited to the coordination between Russia, Ukraine, the United States and Europe, and other countries need to participate.

On November 19, local time, some pictures of the explosion of GRAU armory appeared on overseas social platforms.

It is worth noting that out of concern that Trump may force Ukraine to compromise with Russia after taking office, Biden will not only consider how to characterize the Ukrainian crisis as a "legacy" in the last two months of his administration, especially how to unite allies to contain Russia’s achievements, but also pay attention to how to create a "trap", vigorously promote NATO to fulfill its existing military aid commitments, and strengthen Ukraine’s offensive and defensive capabilities on the battlefield and its negotiating position outside the battlefield.

At the same time, Biden may tolerate or even let the limited controllable escalation of the battlefield, preventing Trump from making a deal with Russia as a "abandoned child". Recently, Biden’s lifting of Ukraine’s restrictions on using long-range weapons aided by the United States to attack targets in Russia is an example of this change in position. On November 19th, the "RBC- Ukraine" news agency quoted an insider of the Ukrainian army as saying that the Ukrainian army had used ATACMS to attack a military facility near Karachev, Bryansk, Russia.

At the same time, the military cooperation between Russia and North Korea has aroused great concern from all sides at a critical period when the Ukrainian crisis may enter "talking while fighting".

Theoretically, the military cooperation between Russia and the DPRK under the framework of the Comprehensive Strategic Partnership Treaty belongs to the category of bilateral relations in nature, and the article 4 of the Treaty concerning "military mutual assistance" cannot be simply equated with the NATO standard "military alliance". According to the Treaty, when Russia and the DPRK provide military assistance to each other in the face of aggression or in a state of war, it is necessary to comply with Article 51 of the Charter of the United Nations and relevant domestic laws.

Judging from the background and content of the signing of the Treaty, it remains to be seen whether military cooperation based on similar environmental perception, interest perception and strategic needs can solve the shortcomings of the fragility and singleness of mutually beneficial relations.

On November 16th, the Financial Times quoted the Ukrainian intelligence assessment report as saying that North Korea had provided Russia with 50 170mm M1989 self-propelled howitzers and 20 upgraded 240mm multi-barrel rocket launching systems. The picture shows the "main gun" shot in Russia.

For China, such cooperation may strengthen the linkage between "European security" and "Asian security", and provide more "reasons" for NATO members in Europe to strengthen their substantive presence in the Asia-Pacific region. If the military cooperation between Russia and the DPRK goes beyond the geographical restrictions, it may break the consensus that a third country does not directly intervene in the Ukrainian crisis, causing concern about the spillover of the battlefield and the escalation of war.

Considering the high political sensitivity of this issue, it is believed that Russia will give priority to its own territory in positioning military cooperation, and may refer to the mode of NATO’s military advisers, technicians and various mercenaries and volunteers stationed in Ukraine to create a "gray zone" for military mutual assistance, so as to avoid sending North Korean soldiers to eastern Ukraine to directly participate in combat, thus triggering a qualitative change in the Ukrainian crisis.

What needs to be made clear is that China’s main concern is to ensure that there will be no war and chaos on the peninsula and that the "battlefield will not spill over, the war will not escalate, and all parties will not fire" in the Ukrainian crisis.

Since creating the image of "President of Peace" may become one of the main contents of Trump’s political legacy, he may seek positive interaction with China in order to promote the Ukrainian crisis, the Palestinian-Israeli conflict and the relaxation and stability of the situation on the peninsula after taking office. The dialogue between China and the United States on these international and regional hot issues is also expected to become a lubricant for the fierce struggle between the two countries on issues such as economy, trade, science and technology.

But frankly speaking, Trump’s interest in bringing China into the Ukrainian peace process may be limited until his unilateral "persuasion and promotion of talks" encounters resistance or even fails.

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Original title: "Trump can immediately end the Russian-Ukrainian war when he takes office? This may be an illusion.

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On May 13th, Sichuan Big Data Center and Chongqing Big Data Application and Development Administration signed the Memorandum of Cooperation on Deepening Sichuan-Chongqing Cooperation to Promote the Coordinated Development of Big Data in Chengdu-Chongqing Twin-city Economic Circle. In the future, the two sides will work together to break through the big data barriers in Sichuan and Chongqing, promote the coordinated, healthy and orderly development of the two big data undertakings, and build Chengdu-Chongqing into a western data highland and an influential big data development center in China to serve the construction of the twin-city economic circle in Chengdu-Chongqing.

The memorandum of cooperation shows that the data collaboration between Sichuan and Chongqing will open up the big data barriers between Sichuan and Chongqing, establish a collaborative communication mechanism, jointly promote the reform of the data factor market, integrate the superior data resources of Sichuan and Chongqing, focus on promoting the efficient circulation of data resources, open up international data channels, create and share smart applications, share data standards, and coordinate the development of digital industries, thus forming a synergy for the development of big data in Sichuan and Chongqing, and aiming at building Chengdu and Chongqing into a western data highland and an influential big data development center in the country. "Promote intelligent applications to create and share"; "Deepening China-Singapore international data channel cooperation"; "Collaborative research on big data standardization system"; Eighteen specific cooperation were carried out in five aspects, such as "promoting the development of digital industry together".

Through cooperation, in the future, the two sides will work together to promote the interconnection of Sichuan-Chongqing government data resource sharing systems, accelerate the integration of cross-regional government data, public data and social data, provide data support for the integration and development of e-government and digital economy in the two places, accelerate the sharing and cross-regional open utilization of basic data such as natural persons, legal persons, natural resources, spatial geography and electronic licenses, and jointly strive for the landing of the southwest center of the national integrated big data center. Focusing on online formats, online services and online management, we will jointly explore the smart governance model of megacities and cooperate with relevant departments to jointly develop innovative applications such as smart transportation, smart medical care, smart travel, smart people’s livelihood services and smart technology services. We will jointly guide various market players to use the dedicated channel of China-Singapore international data to carry out project cooperation and application demonstration, create a "digital special zone", and explore the pilot and security assessment of cross-border data flow. Integrate superior resources, work together to formulate and improve a number of big data standards and norms, jointly participate in the development of national and industry-related big data standards and norms, explore and promote the mutual recognition and interoperability of big data standards and norms in Chengdu and Chongqing, and jointly strive for the state to strengthen its support for Sichuan and Chongqing digital industries. Strengthen industrial policy coordination, guide cross-regional project cooperation and application demonstration of new technologies, new products, new services, new models and new formats in the fields of big data and artificial intelligence, and strengthen the ability of big data to serve the digital economy.

Sichuan Big Data Center and Chongqing Big Data Application and Development Administration have also established a long-term working mechanism for the collaborative development of big data, and set up a coordination group for the collaborative development of big data in the Chengdu-Chongqing economic circle, headed by the main leaders of both sides, to form a joint meeting and briefing system, regularly study and promote key tasks and work together to solve outstanding problems. (Reporter   chunhua liu)